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Post Info TOPIC: Pick the winner of the World Cup
World cup winner? [9 vote(s)]

Australia
11.1%
England
11.1%
West Indies
0.0%
Sth Africa
33.3%
New Zealand
11.1%
Pakistan
0.0%
India
11.1%
Sri Lanka
11.1%
others
11.1%


Je suis l'état et l'état c'est moi

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Pick the winner of the World Cup
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Now that the last series before the World Cup has finished (discounting next week's minnows' triangular), maybe it's time for each of us to stick our necks out and make a prediction for the World Cup winners.

So who's going to be hoisting the trophy in Barbados on April 28th?

Current odds are these (ignore what I wrote in the other thread, I misunderstood the newfangled decimal stuff):
Australia 2/1, South Africa 4/1, Sri Lanka 13/2, West Indies & India 7/1, England 8/1, Pakistan & New Zealand 10/1, Bangladesh 200/1, Zimbabwe 250/1, Kenya 350/1.

If you like we could do this as a poll (Mr Pres?).
I should point out this is separate from any dubious sweepstakes that any dubious Yorkshiremen may be planning to run in a dubious fashion in the near future.

I'm going for India to beat SA in the final, batting first.







-- Edited by El Presidente at 17:28, 2007-02-23

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Anybody seriously thinking about placing a bet, don't do so until you check out the excellent but relatively unknown bet comparison website:

http://odds.bestbetting.com/cricket/world-cup/winner#

I've found much better odds than Muppet at 16:14 CET. (All in decimals-have no idea why they still use fractions) Australia 3.35, South Africa 5.8 (seriously worth a bet), Windies 9.7, India 11, Sri Lanka 11, England 10.5, NZ 11, Pakistan 12.5 and the rest.... 

SA and Windies would be my fav picks at these odds.

For those unsure of decimal odds, it's quite simple and works like this: 4/1 would become not 4.0 but 5.0 in decimals - they include your original bet in the decimal, i.e. 1.0.
Thus Australia at 3.35(decimals) would be 2.35/1 (47/20), altogether 0.35 better odds than 2/1....
Ok Class?


-- Edited by El Treasurorio at 15:26, 2007-02-20

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...Ding!

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Still think the Black Cats are worth thinking about. Bond, Vettori and Oram (probably their three best players, or at least two) to come into the side that hilariously defeated the choking convicts today.

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paichukka wrote:

Still think the Black Cats are worth thinking about. Bond, Vettori and Oram (probably their three best players, or at least two) to come into the side that hilariously defeated the choking convicts today.

Yup, at 10/1 it's a wise outside choice. Mr. Charles "Chuck" Pai, you going to do a forum schweepschtake?



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...Ding!

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Sadly, I think to win it they would need Shane Bond (world's best bowler?) to stay fit, and he has a body made of poppadums.

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Disco Brad

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You asked for the poll - you got it

Naturally I voted for Australia (though we are playing like a bunch of LjCC Dragons at the moment)


-- Edited by El Presidente at 16:04, 2007-02-20

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Je suis l'état et l'état c'est moi

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El Treasurorio wrote:
I've found much better odds than Muppet at 16:14 CET. (All in decimals-have no idea why they still use fractions) Australia 3.35, South Africa 5.8 (seriously worth a bet), Windies 9.7, India 11, Sri Lanka 11, England 10.5, NZ 11, Pakistan 12.5 and the rest.... 

I just put them in as a guide, wasn't really suggesting them as a betting option. My preferred betting site is betfair.com, you bet against other betters rather than against the house, and you can choose your own odds, as long as someone else will give you them.

4/1 would become not 4.0 but 5.0 in decimals - they include your original bet in the decimal, i.e. 1.0.
Thus Australia at 3.35(decimals) would be 2.35/1 (47/20), altogether 0.35 better odds than 2/1....
Ok Class?

So what happens if they come off for rain a second time?


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OK - Own up!

Which wag (pre football World cup usage - of course) voted "other"? Would that be Zimbabwe, Kenya, Bangladesh, Holland, Ireland, Scotland, Bermuda or Canada you expect to win the world cup?

We demand an explanation.

-- Edited by El Presidente at 13:29, 2007-02-21

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Heading for toffee

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El Presidente wrote:

OK - Own up!

Which wag (pre football World cup usage - of course) voted "other"? Would that be Zimbabwe, Kenya, Bangladesh, Holland, Ireland, Scotland, Bermuda or Canada you expect to win the world cup?

We demand an explanation.

-- Edited by El Presidente at 13:29, 2007-02-21


Err, my finger slipped, I thought Namibia were in it again, Bermuda are playing well these days, one-day cricket's a lottery, I always support the underdogs


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Disco Brad

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Luxury wrote:

I always support the underdogs



 Like Arsenal a couple of years ago where they went through undefeated?

If you want to support the underdogs, will you lend the Australians some support then? Backs to the wall at the moment.



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Bezalgo

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Luxury wrote:



Err, my finger slipped, I thought Namibia were in it again, Bermuda are playing well these days, one-day cricket's a lottery, I always support the underdogs



 au contraire, bermuda were the whipping boys of the 6-team world cricket league. Scotland and Kenya looked tidy however, while Canada's only hopes lie with that bloke who plays with Cameron Eve who got the faster ever one-day century. Now if he lets rip against England....



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Disco Brad

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Brett Lee is now officially out of the World Cup. Quite a blow, but possibly good for the currently vulnerable Aussie bowling attack as Stuart Clark, (Australia's best and most consistent bowler over the last 15 months) has replaced him.

Interesting as having Lee and Tait together would have had two genuine quicks, but now the Aussies will have 2 'metronomic' bowlers in McGrath and Clark. I'm not sure if Australia would play the 2 of them together.

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Bezalgo

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Australia have the second worst economy rate for the last ten overs of ODIs over the last year, and as for new call up Stuart Clark, he goes for nearly 8 an over at the death according to a statistical analysis from Cricinfo!

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Golcar CC wrote:



Australia have the second worst economy rate for the last ten overs of ODIs over the last year, and as for new call up Stuart Clark, he goes for nearly 8 an over at the death according to a statistical analysis from Cricinfo!



 Ricky Ponting may bowl him in the middle then. To be fair to Clark most of those runs in his economy rate came from 2 matches.

Statistics can be misleading though. Mike Gatting finished with a better first class bowling average than Devon Malcolm for example, though I know who I'd rather face!!



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Je suis l'état et l'état c'est moi

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El Presidente wrote:
Interesting as having Lee and Tait together would have had two genuine quicks, but now the Aussies will have 2 'metronomic' bowlers in McGrath and Clark. I'm not sure if Australia would play the 2 of them together.

So how do you see the bowling attack lining up? Does Lee's withdrawal mean that Tait's a cert, or will he be competing with Johnson for a place? Is it just a question of deciding between them and between Clark & McGrath?
I can see them possibly playing Clark and McGrath together, on the grounds that pace will be less of a factor on these sluggish pitches we're being promised. Also Ponting has said the biggest problem they have is finding someone to bowl at the death, so will Clark + McGrath in tandem prove too irresistible?
I might be inclined to leave out Bracken, play Johnson instead of Tait, and stick both the metronomes in. That way you'd have some security at the end of the innings, plus some pace and left/right variety.

Incidentally, any tips for not confusing Brad Hogg and Brad Hodge? With Brad Haddin in there as well, the Oz squad is looking a little like a Braddy H version of the Monty Python "Bruce" sketch ("That's going to cause a little confusion")...

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Muppet wrote:

El Presidente wrote:
Interesting as having Lee and Tait together would have had two genuine quicks, but now the Aussies will have 2 'metronomic' bowlers in McGrath and Clark. I'm not sure if Australia would play the 2 of them together.

So how do you see the bowling attack lining up? Does Lee's withdrawal mean that Tait's a cert, or will he be competing with Johnson for a place? Is it just a question of deciding between them and between Clark & McGrath?
I can see them possibly playing Clark and McGrath together, on the grounds that pace will be less of a factor on these sluggish pitches we're being promised. Also Ponting has said the biggest problem they have is finding someone to bowl at the death, so will Clark + McGrath in tandem prove too irresistible?
I might be inclined to leave out Bracken, play Johnson instead of Tait, and stick both the metronomes in. That way you'd have some security at the end of the innings, plus some pace and left/right variety.

Incidentally, any tips for not confusing Brad Hogg and Brad Hodge? With Brad Haddin in there as well, the Oz squad is looking a little like a Braddy H version of the Monty Python "Bruce" sketch ("That's going to cause a little confusion")...



 I would pick Tait over Johnson as the latter seems to have lost his way a bit since a good performance at the Champions Trophy. Tait is going to get you wickets, so I would open the bowling with him and either Clark or McGrath, the fourth bowler will be Bracken who has a good economy rate although he bowled a poor final over in the last NZ match. The 5th bowler will be Watson / Clarke / Hussey/ Hogg etc.

Incidentally, do you think if I changed my last name to Hughes or Hoggard or something like that, that I could join the Australian team too?

Brad Hogg is a bit of an imposter though - he's actually a George, not a Brad.



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Je suis l'état et l'état c'est moi

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El Presidente wrote:

the fourth bowler will be Bracken who has a good economy rate although he bowled a poor final over in the last NZ match. The 5th bowler will be Watson / Clarke / Hussey/ Hogg etc.


That last over still rankles, doesn't it!
Is Bracken better than Clark? Agree about his economy rate, but Clark's had a pretty amazing summer. As for Johnson, I've never seen him bowl but everything I've read about him makes him look pretty exciting. He would have made the Ashes squad had he not got injured.
And surely Watson and Hogg will both make every team?

Incidentally, do you think if I changed my last name to Hughes or Hoggard or something like that, that I could join the Australian team too?

Brad Hogg is a bit of an imposter though - he's actually a George, not a Brad.


Yeah but fair go mate, can't blame a bloke for tryin' to fit in.

Not sure I'd recommend changing your name to Hoggard though. You may find yourself blocking or padding up to every ball you face, as well as developing a fondness off the field for bread and dripping, whippets, PG Tips, and the "funky flat caps" page of the Littlewoods catalogue.


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not sure if India's on to a winner with this but it's newsworthy (just)

http://www.bbc.co.uk/mediaselector/check/player/nol/newsid_6380000/newsid_6389600?redirect=6389685.stm&news=1&bbwm=1&nbwm=1&bbram=1&nbram=1


...and this has f-all to do with cricket, but as a Slovenian sport-related site we gotta support our boys...

http://www.eurosport.com/alpineskiing/garmisch-partenkirchen/2006-2007/sport_sto1095740.shtml

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zimmerframe wrote:

not sure if India's on to a winner with this but it's newsworthy (just)

http://www.bbc.co.uk/mediaselector/check/player/nol/newsid_6380000/newsid_6389600?redirect=6389685.stm&news=1&bbwm=1&nbwm=1&bbram=1&nbram=1




Great clip, but I'd probably be more interested in seeing his "car shaped like a toilet" as that would be pretty unusual to say the least.

 



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Can we get Scotland as a winning option up there on its own, please?

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Angus wrote:

Can we get Scotland as a winning option up there on its own, please?


 "Computer says no."



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Bezalgo

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Angus wrote:

Can we get Scotland as a winning option up there on its own, please?


 Scotland (n) - a team, thing or item that cannot leave or exit a group.




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Je suis l'état et l'état c'est moi

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Golcar CC wrote:
  Angus wrote:
  Can we get Scotland as a winning option up there on
  its own, please?


Scotland (n) - a team, thing or item that cannot leave or exit a group.


Obviously Angus was just having a moment and confusing it with the 6 Nations, where Scotland are right up there with the big gu... oh.


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Bezalgo

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Muppet, going off topic to the personal briefly, looking at the times you post I'm wondering whether you're a) working shifts, or b) a bit insomniac?

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Je suis l'état et l'état c'est moi

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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delayed_sleep_phase_syndrome

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Dedication
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Getting back to the subject, it seems that those Kiwis will stop at nothing in their determination to play in the World Cup.

This quote from Jacob Oram regarding his injury:

"We've got taping techniques and guards that fit into a batting glove, and I'm confident I'll be fine. If it means cutting the finger off, if that's the last resort, I'll do that, there's no way I'm missing this."

What is the greatest sacrifice that anyone has ever made to be able to play in a match? For example, perhaps some of you LjCCers can share some of the many stories of when you had to show a gorgeous young ljubljanka the door because you had an important cup match in the morning...



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RE: Pick the winner of the World Cup
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Muppet wrote:

a gorgeous young ljubljanka


"Ljubljanka" - I like that. Is it rhyming slang?

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Je suis l'état et l'état c'est moi

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Luxury wrote:

Muppet wrote:
"Ljubljanka" - I like that. Is it rhyming slang?


Yes. For "anchor".

I've just remembered it should be "ljubljančanka". Many apologies.



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Muppet wrote:

Getting back to the subject, it seems that those Kiwis will stop at nothing in their determination to play in the World Cup.

This quote from Jacob Oram regarding his injury:

"We've got taping techniques and guards that fit into a batting glove, and I'm confident I'll be fine. If it means cutting the finger off, if that's the last resort, I'll do that, there's no way I'm missing this."

What is the greatest sacrifice that anyone has ever made to be able to play in a match? For example, perhaps some of you LjCCers can share some of the many stories of when you had to show a gorgeous young ljubljanka the door because you had an important cup match in the morning...




 While I myself have not had this problem, I know of at least one club member who suffered this very difficult choice. You'll be pleased to know, he chose the cricket (and then we lost a narrow thriller) leaving the bemused lady in question wondering how to get home at 7:30 in the morning. It is not in my powers to name and shame the gentlemean in question, but he may pop in and own up, then again he may not.



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Disco Brad

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Interesting that as yet, no one has picked the hosts or Pakistan yet every other team has been tipped here. Pakistan are a bit of an enigma, but today lost both Shoaib Akhtar and Mohammed Asif, who have been replaced by Mohammed Sami and Yasir Arafat (insert obvious joke here). With Shahid Afridi sidelined for the first 2 matches too, it seems they will have a tougher time than they had planned. They should still qualify from their group (West Indies, Pakistan, Zimbabwe, Ireland) though.

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El Presidente wrote:

Interesting that as yet, no one has picked the hosts or Pakistan yet every other team has been tipped here. Pakistan are a bit of an enigma, but today lost both Shoaib Akhtar and Mohammed Asif, who have been replaced by Mohammed Sami and Yasir Arafat (insert obvious joke here).


Tried to do something about tea-towel-tampering scandals, but think I'll leave it.
Agree that Pakistan will struggle - but it's so hard to tell which players will have the best time of it as we're being promised new pitches in the Caribbean which won't bear any relation to the pacey ones of old. Maybe Inzamam could have a tournament.
Difficult to tell with the Windies - they seem to be talking themselves up, but I can only see 2 or 3 potential matchwinners in their side. Can't see them doing it for the same reason I can't see England doing it. Plus there's the "curse of the hosts".


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Muppet wrote:
What is the greatest sacrifice that anyone has ever made to be able to play in a match? For example, perhaps some of you LjCCers can share some of the many stories of when you had to show a gorgeous young ljubljanka the door because you had an important cup match in the morning...

I believe one LJCC player was told to continue by the skipper after breaking his arm. The same skipper who famously screamed like a 5 year old girl when hit in the chest. No LJCC stories for me, apart from overcoming no sleep and horrific hangovers. I do have one story from my halcyon school days though. 

While batting for the 1st XI, I top-edged a spinner into my nose while attempting a sweep. I continued my innings with a heavily bloodied shirt and went on to a 40 odd. It was much later after the event that I found out I had broken my nose, forced to live the rest of my life with a slight bend to it...

I believe Zimmer has an amusing tale of a split box and some very swollen balls. I don't think the batsman continued though.






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